now, doug schoen and pat caddell, also a fox news contributor and former pollster for jimmy carter. i want to start with these ohio numbers because, because there was also a poll out that said it was tied at 47, and ppp, a democratic-leaning firm, released a poll showing obama up just one point in ohio. do you believe that it's a tied race in ohio, doug? >> i do. i think the fox news poll last week had it three, and i think pat and i both believe that the momentum in the race, the clear momentum is moving to mitt romney, and ohio which is probably both a bellwether and the key to the election, has been moving slowly, but it's moved about five or six points in the last week or so, and bottom line that makes this race dead even with all the momentum in governor romney's direction. megyn: the ppp poll that showed the president up by just one in ohio apparently had a sampling, a democrat sampling advantage of 8%, and earlier it was a democratic advantage of four. so the president is showing, you know, that he's doing worse even with more democrats in the sample in the tate of ohio, pat. w